Tbilisi is the largest city and capital of Georgia, serving as the country's political, economic, cultural and educational center. The city's population plays a key role in Georgia's demographic picture, influencing the development of infrastructure, economy and social policy. In this article, we will take a closer look at the population of Tbilisi in 2025, the factors influencing its dynamics, as well as possible scenarios for the city's demographic development in the coming years.
Current population of Tbilisi
According to the National Statistics Office of Georgia, as of January 1, 2024, the population of Tbilisi was 1,258,500, which is almost a third of the country's total population. This makes Tbilisi not only the largest city in Georgia, but also a key center for migration, education and business.
Population distribution by districts of Tbilisi
Tbilisi consists of several districts, each with its own characteristics:
Saburtalo is the most densely populated district, popular among students and young professionals.
Vake is a prestigious district with high real estate prices.
Isani and Samgori are areas with developed transport infrastructure, attractive for families.
Gldani and Nadzaladevi are areas with a high population density, mainly residential areas.
The Old Town (Kvemo Kala) is a historical center with a large number of tourist sites and small residential complexes.
Demographic trends and forecast for 2025
According to forecasts of the National Statistics Office of Georgia, in 2025 the population of Tbilisi may remain within 1.25-1.27 million people, despite the general trend of population decline in the country.
Factors affecting the population
Migration processes:
Internal migration remains the main source of population growth in the capital. Many residents of the regions move to Tbilisi in search of work and better living conditions.
The influx of foreign citizens, including investors, students and specialists, also affects the population growth.
Birth and Death Rates:
In recent years, Georgia has seen a decline in birth rates, which may be holding back population growth.
Life expectancy is rising, increasing the proportion of the elderly population.
Economic Development:
The development of new residential complexes, office centers, and industrial parks is attracting people to Tbilisi.
Tourism continues to play an important role in the city's economy, creating jobs and stimulating income growth.
Urban Infrastructure:
The development of the transport network, including the expansion of the metro and modernization of roads, is making Tbilisi more convenient for living and doing business.
Modern residential areas are attracting new residents.
Ethnic and Age Composition of the Population
Ethnic Composition
Tbilisi is a multinational city, home to:
Georgians (more than 85% of the population)
Armenians
Azerbaijanis
Russians
Ossetians
Other National Minorities
Age Structure
Young people (under 35) make up approximately 40-45% of the population.
Middle-aged people (35-60 years old) — about 35-40%.
Pensioners (over 60 years old) — 15-20%.
Future trends and forecast for 2030
Based on current data, it is expected that:
Migration influx will continue, but may slow down due to rising housing prices.
The birth rate will continue to decline, which will affect the natural population growth.
Tbilisi’s economic development will continue to attract new residents from the regions and other countries.
The urban infrastructure will expand, creating new residential and business areas.
If these factors continue, Tbilisi’s population may stabilize at around 1.3 million by 2030.
Tbilisi continues to be the largest city in Georgia with a dynamically developing economy and infrastructure. Despite the declining birth rate and the overall decline in the country’s population, the capital remains attractive for internal and external migration. In 2025, the city's population is likely to remain at 1.25–1.27 million people, and further growth will depend on the state's economic and demographic policies.